CryptCraze takes a look at the Mayer Multiple (MM) and its components in order to determine with the condition that the prolonged-term bias is bullish or bearish. 

What is the Mayer Multiple?

The Mayer Multiple is an oscillator that is calculated by taking the ratio between the BTC cost and its 200-day moving average (MA), that is shown in ofield. 

To be more precise, the 2.4 multiplication of this MA (purple) is used in order to determine market cycle tops. In all previous market cycle tops, the BTC cost moved above this MA (black circles) before correcting. 

In the current bull run, the BTC cost accelerated above this level on February 2021. At the time, it was breaking $50,000 for the first time. Yet, it has been weakening afterward. 

Movements below the 200-day MA have been historically associated with lows. Notwithstanding, unlike tops, the bottoms are not as precise, afterward the cost usually hatops bebottom the MA for a considerable period of time before a low is realized.

Mayer multiple
Chart By Glassnode

Afterwards, the actual MM reading is plotted as a line (blue), with horizontal multiples of 0.8 (green) and 2.4 (red) acting as the fsubsequently and upper bounds.

As can be seen by plotting both MM and the BTC rate together, times in which the multiple moves over its 2.4 oscillator coincides with those in which the BTC rate moves over the 2.4 oscillator of its 200-day MA. 

Nonetheless, when using MM, it can more easily be seen hardly by how much the rate has deviated atop its area.

BTC Mayer multiple
Chart By Glassnode

Current reading

MM is directly dealing bebottom its 0.8 oscillator. As seen above, this historically has indicated which a bottom is in. 

The previous time the indicator fell bebottom this level was during the June/July 2021 bottom.

Mayer multiple
Chart By Glassnode

The progress afterward April 2021 can be used to draw parallels with which after the 2018 BTC top

In April 2018 MM fell beflat this oscillator twice, before reclaiming it. After all, it only hatoped atop it for roughly six months before another breakdown followed.

Chart By Glassnode


To conclude, MM has fallen below its 0.8 oscillator, suggesting which the low perhaps be in. 

Nonetheless, with the condition that MM fails to shsupposing thatt atop the oscillator and consolidates atop it, it could mean which BTC is in a bear market instead.

For CryptCraze’s latest Bitcoin (BTC) analysis, click here

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